Bank Nifty Weekly Analysis – 03Jun2023

Bank Nifty made a new lifetime high this week at 44,498 but closed the week in red at 43,938. A new lifetime high by Bank Nifty is a positive sign for Indian market, but it also means India markets are nearly topping out and risk-reward ratio on the long side is rapidly reducing.

Bank Nifty momentum indicator (CCI) is still in strong bullish zone, so Bank Nifty can easily give another 1000-2000 points gain from here. However, the momentum has now started fading, and the uptrend has also moved into the zone where correction can start (see the curve drawn on the above weekly candle stick chart). At the current situation, one can reduce/minimize long positions in Bank Nifty, and also buy some cheap Bank Nifty put options of June expiry. The overall setup is not currently showing a compelling or high conviction setup as per the system.